Wednesday, March 05, 2008


The Future Of Privatization


John Robb speculates that the publics' loss of confidence in the ability of the government to manage common threats will result in the privatization of everything, including defense. Via Wretchard, who provides this exerpt:
The success of these enforcement efforts has been amplified by recent judicial changes that have automated the conviction of perpetrators based on recorded acts. This allows these certified teams to carry out the death penalty at the point of capture. We expect that these efforts will reduce the effect of disruptions drain on the national economy by five percent of gross national product by 2030 (which should be sufficient to allow economic growth to return).

Unfortunately, there have been indications that bio-terrorism is on the rise, with the worst incident to date occurring in San Antonio during the summer of 2023, inflicting some 300,000 casualties. Significantly, most of the information required for these acts have been developed by criminal groups located outside of the US for financial gain through extortion and other forms coercion. To prevent terrorists from inside of the US from acquiring this information and to slow the growth of criminal activity, national security licenses have been issued to international vendors to intercept these criminal elements within their countries of origin and terminate their activities. Time will tell if these efforts at early intervention will work. Regardless, we are hopeful.
Its a provocative article, 3 pages in length. Well worth a read.

Wretchard observes:
When the state loses the moral authority to combat terror groups it loses it across the board. The inability of the state to stop violence by substate actors will inevitably lead to corresponding defensive measures by networked communities. Maybe all cities will one day come to resemble Third World cities, like Baghdad, with neighborhood watch groups and checkpoints between districts. The ultimate expression of a multicultural society are urban mazes of gated, privately-patrolled ghettos.

Much earlier I wrote that the logical flaw in assuming Islamic radicals, developing WMD in a cave, could privately attack the Western civilians with impunity was the assumption that Western civilians couldn't do the same. "The really harmful consequence of not recognizing proxy warfare and addressing it openly is that it creates a subterranean world of countermeasures. A black market in defense."

"We are all Hizbullah now". Not yet, but soon.
I fear he is right.


<< Home

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?